Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 4.848620 5.288638 5.775060 6.357553 7.042792 7.831926 8.822456
2025-11-16 4.101155 4.676177 5.362285 6.259582 7.431779 8.958040 11.184904
2025-11-23 3.733708 4.384093 5.201510 6.340527 7.953383 10.279703 14.181269
2025-11-30 3.445867 4.131895 5.027359 6.336630 8.313765 11.425731 17.374569
2025-12-07 3.141006 3.816475 4.719729 6.082846 8.233756 11.838793 19.471622
2025-12-14 2.890761 3.547872 4.443020 5.827768 8.091416 12.090287 21.368275
2025-12-21 2.747065 3.410336 4.333346 5.803252 8.310600 13.042054 25.464828
2025-12-28 2.617832 3.281448 4.221853 5.757675 8.478882 13.939575 30.196792
2026-01-04 2.476630 3.125321 4.056303 5.604148 8.423266 14.348368 33.888996
2026-01-11 2.393017 3.045898 3.998368 5.619493 8.683185 15.550811 42.017128
2026-01-18 2.341794 3.009561 4.001940 5.737112 9.162639 17.480499 57.428153
2026-01-25 2.397383 3.133879 4.265186 6.343569 10.804769 23.601271 136.491400
2026-02-01 2.298298 3.025710 4.158721 6.285130 11.024458 25.773918 225.645586
2026-02-08 2.184383 2.890232 4.000624 6.116981 10.966945 27.047555 369.847099
2026-02-15 2.123692 2.833489 3.968779 6.189948 11.532610 31.449812 2219.859351
2026-02-22 2.055724 2.760764 3.903272 6.185863 11.899907 35.542790 NaN
2026-03-01 1.955372 2.631206 3.730760 5.941743 11.546247 35.544769 NaN
2026-03-08 1.862028 2.508990 3.564442 5.696151 11.146639 35.056581 NaN
2026-03-15 1.809587 2.450275 3.505858 5.672535 11.392615 38.933857 NaN
2026-03-22 1.757909 2.390309 3.441139 5.628622 11.570403 42.815422 NaN
2026-03-29 1.694650 2.308824 3.333455 5.480640 11.393186 43.892036 NaN
2026-04-05 1.658393 2.270146 3.300646 5.495436 11.747025 50.330292 NaN
2026-04-12 1.637587 2.255914 3.311121 5.608807 12.471479 63.174257 NaN